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Rayo Cantabria vs Amorebieta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Torre I.
78' Event
Diaz J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Rayo Cantabria and Amorebieta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amorebieta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Rayo Cantabria
20%
Draws
70%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amorebieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

10% / Low Confidence
  • Rayo Cantabria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 10% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Amorebieta here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 68%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Cantabria Amorebieta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Amorebieta
0:2
Feb 16, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Rayo Cantabria vs Amorebieta
0:1
Sep 29, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Rayo Cantabria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Cantabria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Torre I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Cantabria 41 / 100
Amorebieta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Cantabria Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Cantabria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Cantabria scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Amorebieta has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rayo Cantabria has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Cantabria VS Amorebieta
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Cantabria

(Home)
03 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 5
Eibar B
27 Sept
Llanera
2 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

Amorebieta

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)