Sport Picks
Rayo Cantabria vs Real Avila
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Diaz D.
39'
39'
Mascaro P.
65'
65'
Mascaro P.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Rayo Cantabria and Real Avila finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Cantabria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo Cantabria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rayo Cantabria come out ahead of Real Avila on wins alone.
- Rayo Cantabria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 12%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Cantabria | Real Avila |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Real Avila
4:1
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Rayo Cantabria
3:3
Feb 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Rayo Cantabria
4:0
Sep 29, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Real Avila
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Cantabria Compare
Top Goalscorer Mascaro P.
3 Goals Assists Leader Diaz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Real Avila Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Cantabria 83 / 100
Real Avila 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Cantabria Real Avila
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Cantabria found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Real Avila conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Rayo Cantabria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Cantabria VS Real Avila
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Cantabria
(Home) 08 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1 Real Aviles
05 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0 Rayo Cantabria
03 May
Sarriana
3 : 4 Rayo Cantabria
26 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
4 : 1 Real Avila
19 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 1 Rayo Cantabria
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1 Real Aviles
26 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
4 : 1 Real Avila
12 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
29 Mar
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 0 Real Oviedo B
15 Mar
Rayo Cantabria
4 : 1 Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 3
Real Avila
(Away) 08 Aug
Real Avila
2 : 0 Unionistas de Salamanca
01 Aug
CD Coria
1 : 0 Real Avila
03 May
Real Avila
0 : 4 Deportivo Fabril
26 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
4 : 1 Real Avila
19 Apr
Real Avila
2 : 1 Gimnastica Segoviana
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
CD Coria
1 : 0 Real Avila
26 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
4 : 1 Real Avila
12 Apr
Numancia
2 : 1 Real Avila
28 Mar
UD Samano
0 : 4 Real Avila
15 Mar
Real Oviedo B
0 : 2 Real Avila
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Fabril | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 58 |
| 3 | Numancia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:31 | 56 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino De Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | 15 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
