Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026

Rayo Cantabria

4 - 1

Valladolid Promesas

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Franco S.

35'

Carvajal A.

44'

Franco S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rayo Cantabria in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Cantabria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Rayo Cantabria

40%

Draws

29%

Valladolid Promesas

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Valladolid Promesas have won more games recently than Rayo Cantabria.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%

Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 12%

Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rayo Cantabria	Valladolid Promesas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	11
Draws	14	8
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	2.38	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Rayo Cantabria vs Valladolid Promesas

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

4:1

Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Valladolid Promesas vs Rayo Cantabria

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly

Rayo Cantabria vs Valladolid Promesas

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Feb 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Rayo Cantabria vs Valladolid Promesas

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Oct 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Valladolid Promesas vs Rayo Cantabria

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Cantabria Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Calera S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Valladolid Promesas Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvajal A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Cantabria 30 / 100

Valladolid Promesas 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rayo Cantabria Valladolid Promesas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Cantabria found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Valladolid Promesas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Rayo Cantabria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Cantabria VS Valladolid Promesas

2.38 Goals Scored 1.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Fabril	34	20	9	5	59:22	69
2	Real Oviedo B	34	16	10	8	50:35	58
3	Numancia	34	15	11	8	46:31	56
4	UD Ourense	34	15	10	9	40:34	55
5	Coruxo FC	34	15	7	12	46:37	52
6	Gimnastica Segoviana	34	14	9	11	37:36	51
7	Real Avila	34	14	8	12	48:52	50
8	Salamanca CF UDS	34	14	8	12	43:36	50
9	Rayo Cantabria	34	11	15	8	63:50	48
10	Bergantinos	34	13	9	12	44:37	48
11	Atletico Astorga	34	12	9	13	41:43	45
12	Marino De Luanco	34	11	12	11	31:26	45
13	Valladolid Promesas	34	12	9	13	59:58	45
14	Langreo	34	11	10	13	35:41	43
15	Sarriana	34	11	7	16	42:42	40
16	Burgos CF B	34	8	12	14	38:55	36
17	Lealtad	34	7	7	20	31:54	28
18	UD Samano	34	3	6	25	23:87	15