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Rayo Ibense vs Castellonense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rey F.
31' Event
Magraner F.

AI Match Summary

Castellonense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Rayo Ibense
15%
Draws
78%
Castellonense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castellonense lately — more wins on the board than Rayo Ibense.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Castellonense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Rayo Ibense Clean Sheet 10%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Ibense Castellonense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.6 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Castellonense
0:2
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Rayo Ibense
0:3
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Castellonense
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellonense vs Rayo Ibense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Ibense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Castellonense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rey F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magraner F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Ibense 10 / 100
Castellonense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Ibense Castellonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellonense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Rayo Ibense found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Castellonense conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Rayo Ibense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Ibense VS Castellonense
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Ibense

(Home)
01 Aug
Rayo Ibense
0 : 2
Alcoyano
08 May
Rayo Ibense
0 : 0
Levante B
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Rayo Ibense
0 : 1
Roda
17 Apr
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Rayo Ibense
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Castellonense

(Away)
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
19 Aug
Torrent
0 : 1
Castellonense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)