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Rayo Ibense vs Soneja

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Carlos J.
49' Event
Tarrega B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Rayo Ibense
20%
Draws
70%
Soneja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Soneja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Soneja lately — more wins on the board than Rayo Ibense.
  • Soneja are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Soneja here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Rayo Ibense Clean Sheet 15%
Soneja Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Ibense Soneja
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.6 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Soneja
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Rayo Ibense
2:0
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Soneja
1:2
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Soneja vs Rayo Ibense
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Ibense Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Soneja Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarrega B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Ibense 19 / 100
Soneja 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Ibense Soneja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soneja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Soneja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Rayo Ibense scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Rayo Ibense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Ibense VS Soneja
0 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Ibense

(Home)
01 Aug
Rayo Ibense
0 : 2
Alcoyano
08 May
Rayo Ibense
0 : 0
Levante B
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Rayo Ibense
0 : 1
Roda
17 Apr
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Rayo Ibense
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Soneja

(Away)
13 Sept
Crevillente
2 : 2
Soneja
06 Sept
Soneja
0 : 3
Villarreal C
09 May
Soneja
5 : 2
Espanol de San Vicente
02 May
Roda
0 : 1
Soneja
25 Apr
Soneja
2 : 3
Recambios Colon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)