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Rayo Ibense vs Utiel

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Climent D.

AI Match Summary

Utiel in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Utiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Rayo Ibense
35%
Draws
49%
Utiel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Utiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Rayo Ibense haven't matched Utiel's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Utiel have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Rayo Ibense Clean Sheet 16%
Utiel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Ibense Utiel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.6 1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Utiel
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Rayo Ibense
3:1
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Rayo Ibense
2:0
Nov 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Utiel
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Ibense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Utiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Climent D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Ibense 36 / 100
Utiel 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Ibense Utiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utiel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utiel has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Rayo Ibense scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Rayo Ibense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Ibense VS Utiel
0 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Ibense

(Home)
01 Aug
Rayo Ibense
0 : 2
Alcoyano
08 May
Rayo Ibense
0 : 0
Levante B
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Rayo Ibense
0 : 1
Roda
17 Apr
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Rayo Ibense
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Utiel

(Away)
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
28 Aug
Utiel
1 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
21 Aug
Utiel
1 : 1
Vall de Uxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)