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Rayo Majadahonda vs FC Cartagena SAD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Jorge J.
29'
Aguado T.
33' Event
Dacosta R.
Assist: Martinez N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Rayo Majadahonda and FC Cartagena SAD finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Rayo Majadahonda
30%
Draws
47%
FC Cartagena SAD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cartagena SAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rayo Majadahonda come out ahead of FC Cartagena SAD on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 19%
FC Cartagena SAD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Majadahonda FC Cartagena SAD
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.04
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Rayo Majadahonda vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:1
May 27, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Majadahonda vs FC Cartagena SAD
1:0
May 19, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
FC Cartagena SAD vs Rayo Majadahonda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Majadahonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzaga M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Cartagena SAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Dacosta R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Majadahonda 32 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Majadahonda FC Cartagena SAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cartagena SAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rayo Majadahonda scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Cartagena SAD let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Rayo Majadahonda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Majadahonda VS FC Cartagena SAD
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Majadahonda

(Home)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
27 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

FC Cartagena SAD

(Away)
07 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
1 : 0
Murcia
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
20 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
3 Alcorcon 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
4 Jaen 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
5 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
6 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
7 Huesca 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
8 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
9 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
10 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
11 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
17 Teruel 7 1 2 4 3:12 5
18 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
19 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
20 Torremolinos 7 0 2 5 8:18 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)