Sport Picks
Rayo Vallecano B vs Colonia Moscardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 
Match Events
28'
28'
Mena Mugica J.
50'
50'
Rami
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Rayo Vallecano B and Colonia Moscardo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colonia Moscardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Colonia Moscardo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Colonia Moscardo's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Colonia Moscardo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano B | Colonia Moscardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 23 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.91 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Colonia Moscardo
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs Rayo Vallecano B
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Vallecano B vs Colonia Moscardo
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Rayo Vallecano B
3:2
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Colonia Moscardo
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Vallecano B Compare
Top Goalscorer Rami
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Colonia Moscardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Mena Mugica J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Vallecano B 18 / 100
Colonia Moscardo 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Vallecano B Colonia Moscardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Colonia Moscardo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Rayo Vallecano B found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (34 games).
Recent resilience: Rayo Vallecano B stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Vallecano B VS Colonia Moscardo
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Vallecano B
(Home) 25 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
18 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
4 : 3 Rayo Vallecano B
11 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2 Rayo Vallecano B
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2 Galapagar
Page 1 of 7
25 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
11 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2 Galapagar
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
26 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 2 Socuellamos
Page 1 of 4
Colonia Moscardo
(Away) 25 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
18 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
10 Oct
Real Aranjuez
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
10 Oct
Real Aranjuez
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Mostoles | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 17 |
| 2 | CD Las Rozas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 4 | Colonia Moscardo | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 17:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 6 | Cala Pozuelo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Union Adarve | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Trival Valderas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Leganes B | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 11 |
| 10 | AD Torrejon | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 11 | CF Fuenlabrada | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 12 | RC Alcobendas | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Real Aranjuez | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 14 | CP Parla Escuela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14:21 | 7 |
| 16 | Mexico | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano B | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Siello | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:24 | 4 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)
