Sport Picks
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid 
Match Events
44'
44'
Diaz P.
58'
58'
Sub
Perez F. In: Alemao
Out: Perez F.
58'
58'
Sub
Diaz P. In: Gumbau G.
Out: Diaz P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Girona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rayo Vallecano have won more games recently than Girona.
- Girona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%
Girona Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2026 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 LaLiga
Girona vs Rayo Vallecano
1:3
Jan 26, 2025 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona
2:1
Sep 25, 2024 LaLiga
Girona vs Rayo Vallecano
0:0
Feb 26, 2024 LaLiga
Girona vs Rayo Vallecano
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Vallecano Compare
Top Goalscorer Alemao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Girona Compare
Top Goalscorer Stuani C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Vallecano 10 / 100
Girona 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Vallecano Girona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Girona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Girona has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Rayo Vallecano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Vallecano VS Girona
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Vallecano
(Home) 19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 Racing Santander
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 Espanyol
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 Racing Santander
20 Aug
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Alaves
17 May
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 0 Villarreal
11 May
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Girona
Page 1 of 3
Girona
(Away) 25 Sept
Girona
2 : 0 Albacete
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2 Girona
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2 Castellon
05 Sept
Gijon
0 : 2 Girona
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2 Las Palmas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2 Girona
05 Sept
Gijon
0 : 2 Girona
21 Aug
Cordoba
2 : 1 Girona
08 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 1 Girona
22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3 Girona
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
