Sport Picks
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid 
Match Events
2'
2'
Milla P.
19'
19'
Lozano P.
35'
35'
Batalla A.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Vallecano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Espanyol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rayo Vallecano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Espanyol a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Espanyol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 11%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2026 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
0:4
Aug 31, 2024 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano
2:1
May 21, 2023 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Vallecano Compare
Top Goalscorer Camello S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Espanyol Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Vallecano 22 / 100
Espanyol 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Vallecano Espanyol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Espanyol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Espanyol conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Rayo Vallecano remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Vallecano VS Espanyol
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Vallecano
(Home) 15 Aug
Sevilla
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
08 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
01 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 3 Rayo Vallecano
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Hearts
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 0 Villarreal
11 May
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Girona
30 Apr
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 Strasbourg
26 Apr
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 3 Real Sociedad
23 Apr
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 Espanyol
Page 1 of 3
Espanyol
(Away) 16 Aug
Espanyol
3 : 0 Levante
08 Aug
Coventry
3 : 1 Espanyol
01 Aug
Middlesbrough
3 : 3 Espanyol
29 Jul
Burnley
2 : 2 Espanyol
25 Jul
Espanyol
1 : 1 Sabadell
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Coventry
3 : 1 Espanyol
01 Aug
Middlesbrough
3 : 3 Espanyol
29 Jul
Burnley
2 : 2 Espanyol
18 Jul
Olot
0 : 3 Espanyol
17 May
Osasuna
1 : 2 Espanyol
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
