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Rayo Vallecano vs Shkendija Tetovo Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Lopez U.
Assist: Espino A.
32' Event
Perez F.
Assist: Garcia A.
35'
Vertrouwd J.

AI Match Summary

The Conference League 2025/2026 game between Rayo Vallecano and Shkendija Tetovo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Vallecano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rayo Vallecano
20%
Draws
47%
Shkendija Tetovo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shkendija Tetovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rayo Vallecano haven't matched Shkendija Tetovo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shkendija Tetovo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Vallecano Shkendija Tetovo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.34 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2025 Conference League
Rayo Vallecano vs Shkendija Tetovo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Vallecano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano 10 / 100
Shkendija Tetovo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Vallecano Shkendija Tetovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shkendija Tetovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rayo Vallecano scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Shkendija Tetovo let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rayo Vallecano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Vallecano VS Shkendija Tetovo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Vallecano

(Home)
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2
Racing Santander
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2
Rayo Vallecano
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Shkendija Tetovo

(Away)
26 Sept
Kamjani
0 : 3
Shkendija Tetovo
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
28 Aug
Sileks
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 11:5 16
2 Rakow Czestochowa 6 4 2 0 9:2 14
3 AEK 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
4 Sparta Prague 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
6 Shakhtar 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
7 Mainz 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 7:1 12
9 Lausanne 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
11 Lech Poznan 6 3 1 2 12:8 10
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
14 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
16 Rijeka 6 2 3 1 5:2 9
17 Jagiellonia 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
18 Omonia 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
19 Noah 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
22 Shkendija Tetovo 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 Univ. Craiova 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6 2 1 3 7:15 7
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 9:9 6
28 Legia 6 2 0 4 8:8 6
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 5:9 6
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
32 Hacken 6 0 3 3 5:8 3
33 Hamrun 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
36 Rapid Vienna 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)