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Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano host Valencia in the LaLiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Valencia have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Rayo Vallecano have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Rayo Vallecano have won 1 to Valencia's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.63, favoring Rayo Vallecano. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rayo Vallecano
35%
Draws
25%
Valencia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rayo Vallecano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Valencia haven't matched Rayo Vallecano's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Vallecano Valencia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 LaLiga
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Dec 1, 2025 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 LaLiga
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
0:1
May 12, 2024 LaLiga
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano 41 / 100
Valencia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Vallecano Valencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Vallecano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Vallecano scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Valencia has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Rayo Vallecano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Vallecano VS Valencia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Vallecano

(Home)
31 Oct
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 0
Celta Vigo
27 Oct
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 3
Rayo Vallecano
24 Oct
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 3
Elche
19 Oct
Getafe
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 6

Valencia

(Away)
01 Nov
Elche
0 : 1
Valencia
24 Oct
Valencia
1 : 2
Villarreal
17 Oct
Valencia
0 : 0
Ath Bilbao
11 Oct
Racing Santander
2 : 2
Valencia
20 Sept
Valencia
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 10 0 1 46:12 30
2 Atl. Madrid 11 9 1 1 22:8 28
3 Real Madrid 11 9 0 2 28:10 27
4 Betis 11 7 2 2 18:15 23
5 Real Sociedad 11 6 1 4 20:20 19
6 Sevilla 11 5 2 4 17:19 17
7 Ath Bilbao 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
8 Dep. A Coruna 11 3 5 3 15:14 14
9 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15:15 12
10 Celta Vigo 11 2 6 3 10:10 12
11 Alaves 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 Rayo Vallecano 10 3 3 4 15:20 12
13 Getafe 11 3 3 5 8:16 12
14 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13:14 11
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 11:22 11
16 Racing Santander 11 3 2 6 15:29 11
17 Elche 11 2 4 5 14:18 10
18 Levante 11 2 4 5 16:21 10
19 Valencia 11 2 3 6 8:17 9
20 Malaga 11 0 5 6 8:21 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)