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Rayo Vallecano W vs Cacereno W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Galceran L.
43' Event
Coronel M.
82' Event
Szymanowski M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 game between Rayo Vallecano W and Cacereno W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Vallecano W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rayo Vallecano W
20%
Draws
44%
Cacereno W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cacereno W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cacereno W come out ahead of Rayo Vallecano W on wins alone.
  • Rayo Vallecano W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Rayo Vallecano W Clean Sheet 68%
Cacereno W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Vallecano W Cacereno W
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.95
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Rayo Vallecano W vs Cacereno W
3:0
Jan 8, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Cacereno W vs Rayo Vallecano W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Vallecano W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galceran L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coronel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Cacereno W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano W 50 / 100
Cacereno W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Vallecano W Cacereno W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Vallecano W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Rayo Vallecano W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Cacereno W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 38 matches.

Rayo Vallecano W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cacereno W
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Vallecano W

(Home)
14 May
Rayo Vallecano W
3 : 1
Granadilla Tenerife B W
07 May
Athletic Bilbao B W
2 : 0
Rayo Vallecano W
30 Apr
Rayo Vallecano W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
23 Apr
CA Osasuna W
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano W
16 Apr
Rayo Vallecano W
1 : 1
Eibar W
Page 1 of 7

Cacereno W

(Away)
27 Sept
Cacereno W
2 : 0
Real Union W
20 Sept
Levante W
3 : 0
Cacereno W
13 Sept
Real Sociedad B W
3 : 2
Cacereno W
15 Aug
Logrono W
3 : 0
Cacereno W
02 May
Cacereno W
1 : 0
Real Oviedo W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B W 30 18 5 7 58:31 59
2 Eibar W 30 13 14 3 31:18 53
3 Dep. A Coruna W 30 15 8 7 52:29 53
4 CA Osasuna W 30 14 10 6 42:23 52
5 Granada CF W 30 14 8 8 40:28 50
6 Cacereno W 30 13 9 8 34:28 48
7 SE AEM W 30 14 5 11 35:30 47
8 Logrono W 30 11 10 9 42:38 43
9 Espanyol W 30 10 10 10 38:35 40
10 Albacete W 30 9 10 11 32:32 37
11 Athletic Bilbao B W 30 11 3 16 34:51 36
12 Rayo Vallecano W 30 9 8 13 31:45 35
13 Granadilla Tenerife B W 30 9 7 14 24:37 34
14 Real Oviedo W 30 7 6 17 28:45 27
15 Cordoba W 30 6 6 18 27:48 24
16 CD Juan Grande W 30 4 7 19 24:54 19
Promotion - Liga F Women 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)