Sport Picks

Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023

Real Oviedo W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano W play Real Oviedo W in the Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023. Rayo Vallecano W are favorites here. Recently, Rayo Vallecano W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Real Oviedo W averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Rayo Vallecano W won 4, Real Oviedo W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Rayo Vallecano W and 1.24 for Real Oviedo W. This points to a Rayo Vallecano W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Rayo Vallecano W

15%

Draws

29%

Real Oviedo W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo Vallecano W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Rayo Vallecano W picked up more points recently compared to Real Oviedo W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Rayo Vallecano W Clean Sheet 19%

Real Oviedo W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rayo Vallecano W	Real Oviedo W
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	9	7
Draws	8	6
Losses	13	22
Goals Scored	1.03	0.89
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Primera Federacion Women

Real Oviedo W vs Rayo Vallecano W

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Dec 11, 2022 Primera Federacion Women

Rayo Vallecano W vs Real Oviedo W

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Feb 21, 2016 Liga F Women

Real Oviedo W vs Rayo Vallecano W

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Sep 12, 2015 Liga F Women

Rayo Vallecano W vs Real Oviedo W

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Feb 1, 2015 Liga F Women

Rayo Vallecano W vs Real Oviedo W

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Vallecano W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sumaila S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Simona ..

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Real Oviedo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Font Barrasa Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano W 54 / 100

Real Oviedo W 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rayo Vallecano W Real Oviedo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Vallecano W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Rayo Vallecano W & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rayo Vallecano W attacking → ← attacking Real Oviedo W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Vallecano W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Real Oviedo W let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Rayo Vallecano W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Real Oviedo W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 27

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona B W	30	18	5	7	58:31	59
2	Eibar W	30	13	14	3	31:18	53
3	Dep. A Coruna W	30	15	8	7	52:29	53
4	CA Osasuna W	30	14	10	6	42:23	52
5	Granada CF W	30	14	8	8	40:28	50
6	Cacereno W	30	13	9	8	34:28	48
7	SE AEM W	30	14	5	11	35:30	47
8	Logrono Dux W	30	11	10	9	42:38	43
9	Espanyol W	30	10	10	10	38:35	40
10	Albacete W	30	9	10	11	32:32	37
11	Athletic Bilbao B W	30	11	3	16	34:51	36
12	Rayo Vallecano W	30	9	8	13	31:45	35
13	Granadilla Tenerife B W	30	9	7	14	24:37	34
14	Real Oviedo W	30	7	6	17	28:45	27
15	Cordoba W	30	6	6	18	27:48	24
16	CD Juan Grande W	30	4	7	19	24:54	19