Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rayon Sport vs Al Merreikh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Fri, Sep 4, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayon Sport host Al Merreikh in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Rayon Sport have averaged 1.03 scored and 0.67 conceded recently, against Al Merreikh's 1.18 scored and 0.71 conceded. Head-to-head, Rayon Sport have won 0 to Al Merreikh's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.98 - 0.53) back Al Merreikh to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rayon Sport
35%
Draws
45%
Al Merreikh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Merreikh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rayon Sport haven't matched Al Merreikh's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rayon Sport taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 20%
Al Merreikh Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayon Sport Al Merreikh
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 15 12
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Al Merreikh
0:0
Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Al Merreikh
0:0
Jan 21, 2026 Premier League
Al Merreikh vs Rayon Sport
2:2
Jul 1, 2013 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Al Merreikh vs Rayon Sport
1:0
Apr 6, 2008 CAF Confederation Cup
Rayon Sport vs Al Merreikh
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayon Sport 36 / 100
Al Merreikh 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayon Sport Al Merreikh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayon Sport found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Rayon Sport remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Al Merreikh conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rayon Sport VS Al Merreikh
1.25 Goals Scored 0.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 29%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayon Sport

(Home)
09 Oct
Gorilla
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

Al Merreikh

(Away)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al Merreikh
12 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Al Merreikh
05 Sept
Al Merreikh
1 : 0
Power Dynamos
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al Merreikh
27 May
Al Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
7 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
8 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
12 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
16 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)