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Rayon Sport vs Al-Merreikh

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Rayon Sport and Al-Merreikh finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rayon Sport
28%
Draws
22%
Al-Merreikh
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rayon Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Merreikh come out ahead of Rayon Sport on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rayon Sport a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayon Sport Al-Merreikh
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 14 11
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Al-Merreikh
0:0
Jan 21, 2026 Premier League
Al-Merreikh vs Rayon Sport
2:2
Jul 1, 2013 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Al-Merreikh vs Rayon Sport
1:0
Apr 6, 2008 CAF Confederation Cup
Rayon Sport vs Al-Merreikh
0:0
Mar 24, 2008 CAF Confederation Cup
Al-Merreikh vs Rayon Sport
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayon Sport 59 / 100
Al-Merreikh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayon Sport Al-Merreikh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rayon Sport scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Al-Merreikh conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rayon Sport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayon Sport VS Al-Merreikh
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayon Sport

(Home)
29 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Kiyovu
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
23 May
APR
2 : 1
Rayon Sport
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
12 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

Al-Merreikh

(Away)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
17 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Al-Merreikh
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1
Kiyovu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)