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Rayon Sport vs Gasogi United

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayon Sport play Gasogi United in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rayon Sport averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. Gasogi United averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Rayon Sport won 2, Gasogi United won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Rayon Sport and 1.00 for Gasogi United. This points to a Rayon Sport double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Rayon Sport
35%
Draws
24%
Gasogi United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rayon Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Rayon Sport picked up more points recently compared to Gasogi United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 23%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayon Sport Gasogi United
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 13 8
Draws 16 8
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.09 0.78
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Gasogi United
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Rayon Sport
2:2
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Gasogi United
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Rayon Sport
0:1
Jan 12, 2024 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Gasogi United
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayon Sport 42 / 100
Gasogi United 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayon Sport Gasogi United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rayon Sport or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rayon Sport attacking → ← attacking Gasogi United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayon Sport scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Gasogi United let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Rayon Sport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gasogi United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 32
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729