Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rayon Sport vs KVZ

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Kameni J.
(Penalty)
82' Event
Muhoza D.

AI Match Summary

Rayon Sport in this CECAFA Kagame Cup tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rayon Sport
6%
Draws
4%
KVZ
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rayon Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rayon Sport have won more games recently than KVZ.
  • Rayon Sport are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Rayon Sport have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rayon Sport, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 68%
KVZ Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayon Sport KVZ
Matches Played 28 5
Wins 10 1
Draws 14 0
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Rayon Sport vs KVZ
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayon Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhoza D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

KVZ Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayon Sport 95 / 100
KVZ 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayon Sport KVZ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KVZ conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Rayon Sport scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Rayon Sport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayon Sport VS KVZ
1 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
50% Over 1.5 33%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayon Sport

(Home)
26 Jul
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
KVZ
29 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Kiyovu
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
23 May
APR
2 : 1
Rayon Sport
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

KVZ

(Away)
26 Jul
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
KVZ
05 Dec
KVZ
0 : 3
Alamal SC Atbara
27 Nov
Alamal SC Atbara
1 : 0
KVZ
18 Feb
Le Messager Ngozi
3 : 0
KVZ
12 Feb
KVZ
2 : 1
Le Messager Ngozi

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers22004:06
2Mahia21015:13
3APR21013:63
4Garde Republicaine20021:60
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamus21102:04
2Singida Black Stars21014:33
3Simba20200:02
4Mogadishu City20111:41
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman11002:03
2Rayon Sport11002:03
3Tusker10010:20
4KVZ10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams