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Rayon Sport vs Musanze - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayon Sport host Musanze in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Rayon Sport at 1.17 goals for, 0.61 against; Musanze at 0.93 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Rayon Sport have won 2 to Musanze's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.42, favoring Rayon Sport. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rayon Sport
35%
Draws
45%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Musanze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rayon Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rayon Sport taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 20%
Musanze Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayon Sport Musanze
Matches Played 41 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 18 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Musanze vs Rayon Sport
1:1
Dec 5, 2025 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Musanze
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Musanze
2:2
Nov 6, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs Rayon Sport
0:1
Feb 23, 2024 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Musanze
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayon Sport 42 / 100
Musanze 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayon Sport Musanze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayon Sport scored in 78% of their last 41 games.

Musanze let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Rayon Sport remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayon Sport VS Musanze
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 17%
25% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayon Sport

(Home)
09 Oct
Gorilla
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 9

Musanze

(Away)
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
6 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
7 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
9 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
12 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
13 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)