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Rayon Sport vs Sunrise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nzeyimana J.
Assist: Ikpo K. D.
27' Event
Kameni J.
Assist: Tambwe G.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Rayon Sport and Sunrise finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Rayon Sport
35%
Draws
47%
Sunrise
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sunrise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rayon Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rayon Sport have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 20%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayon Sport Sunrise
Matches Played 37 27
Wins 17 7
Draws 15 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.14 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 0.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Sunrise
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Premier League
Sunrise vs Rayon Sport
0:2
Oct 21, 2023 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Sunrise
3:0
May 28, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Rayon Sport
0:1
Nov 4, 2022 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Sunrise
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayon Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Kameni J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sunrise Compare

Top Goalscorer Nzeyimana J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayon Sport 32 / 100
Sunrise 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayon Sport Sunrise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayon Sport found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (37 games).

Defensive concern: Sunrise conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Rayon Sport remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayon Sport VS Sunrise
1.63 Goals Scored 0.2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.2
75% Over 1.5 20%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayon Sport

(Home)
09 Oct
Gorilla
1 : 0
Rayon Sport
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 8

Sunrise

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
6 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
7 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
9 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
12 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
13 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)