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Rayong FC vs Bangkok Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Rayong Provincial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Joao Afonso
42'
Dangda T.
45' Event
Al Ghassani M.
Assist: Selanon N.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Rayong FC and Bangkok Utd finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rayong FC
28%
Draws
50%
Bangkok Utd
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bangkok Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangkok Utd come out ahead of Rayong FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bangkok Utd's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 15%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayong FC Bangkok Utd
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Bangkok Utd
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Rayong FC
3:2
Feb 7, 2025 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Rayong FC
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Bangkok Utd
0:3
Mar 21, 2021 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Rayong FC
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayong FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Withunat W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bangkok Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghassani M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayong FC 23 / 100
Bangkok Utd 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayong FC Bangkok Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Bangkok Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 37 matches.

Rayong FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rayong FC VS Bangkok Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423