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Rayong FC vs Chiangrai Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Rayong Provincial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Helio
16'
Cardozo V.
33' Event
Emaviwe J.

AI Match Summary

Rayong FC host Chiangrai Utd in the Thai League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Rayong FC have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Chiangrai Utd's 1.38 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Rayong FC slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.63, favoring Rayong FC. Rayong FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rayong FC
6%
Draws
90%
Chiangrai Utd
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chiangrai Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Both Rayong FC and Chiangrai Utd exhibit evenly balanced form metrics in recent matches.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Chiangrai Utd.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Thai League 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 14%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayong FC Chiangrai Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Chiangrai Utd
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Rayong FC
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Rayong FC
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Chiangrai Utd
2:0
Feb 21, 2021 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Rayong FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayong FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chiangrai Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Emaviwe J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayong FC 10 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayong FC Chiangrai Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Chiangrai Utd let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Rayong FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chiangrai Utd lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayong FC VS Chiangrai Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423