Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Rayong Provincial Stadium, Rayong
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayong FC host Uthai Thani in the Thai League 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Rayong FC have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Uthai Thani's 1.59 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Rayong FC have won 1 to Uthai Thani's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.88) point toward Uthai Thani. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Rayong FC
20%
Draws
42%
Uthai Thani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uthai Thani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Rayong FC haven't matched Uthai Thani's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Uthai Thani a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Uthai Thani have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayong FC Uthai Thani
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Uthai Thani
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC
3:1
Feb 5, 2023 Thai League 2
Uthai Thani vs Rayong FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayong FC 18 / 100
Uthai Thani 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayong FC Uthai Thani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uthai Thani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Uthai Thani let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Rayong FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayong FC VS Uthai Thani
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayong FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6

Uthai Thani

(Away)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)