Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RB Leipzig II vs Bautzen

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Strauss J.
45' Event
Mauer T.
49' Event
Barth D.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 game between RB Leipzig II and Bautzen finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RB Leipzig II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
RB Leipzig II
35%
Draws
30%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RB Leipzig II come out ahead of Bautzen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans RB Leipzig II's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
RB Leipzig II Clean Sheet 15%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB Leipzig II Bautzen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.17 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2017 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs Bautzen
4:1
Nov 6, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
Bautzen vs RB Leipzig II
1:1
Dec 11, 2015 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs Bautzen
1:1
Jul 26, 2015 Regionalliga Nordost
Bautzen vs RB Leipzig II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RB Leipzig II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauer T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Strauss J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bautzen Compare

Top Goalscorer Barth D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB Leipzig II 41 / 100
Bautzen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB Leipzig II Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RB Leipzig II scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Bautzen conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: RB Leipzig II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bautzen
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RB Leipzig II

(Home)
03 Feb
Southampton U21
0 : 3
RB Leipzig II
20 Jan
Everton U21
5 : 1
RB Leipzig II
14 Jan
Manchester City U21
3 : 1
RB Leipzig II
29 Sept
Wolves U21
1 : 1
RB Leipzig II
17 Jan
Crystal Palace U21
1 : 2
RB Leipzig II
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Bautzen

(Away)
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jena 34 23 6 5 68:25 75
2 Energie Cottbus 34 19 9 6 58:26 66
3 RB Leipzig II 34 17 9 8 67:42 60
4 Viktoria Berlin 34 15 11 8 63:47 56
5 Babelsberg 34 16 7 11 55:42 55
6 Berliner AK 07 34 16 7 11 54:42 55
7 Wacker Nordhausen 34 14 9 11 47:47 51
8 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 34 13 9 12 41:33 48
9 Hertha Berlin II 34 12 12 10 46:48 48
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 13 8 13 53:49 47
11 Schonberg 34 13 8 13 53:60 47
12 Auerbach 34 11 12 11 47:50 45
13 Furstenwalde 34 12 9 13 49:59 45
14 Meuselwitz 34 11 11 12 37:36 44
15 BFC Dynamo 34 12 8 14 51:54 44
16 Luckenwalde 34 5 9 20 35:75 24
17 Bautzen 34 3 9 22 29:68 18
18 TSG Neustrelitz 34 2 5 27 30:80 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2016/2017 (Play Offs)