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RB Leipzig U19 vs Mainz U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
RB Leipzig U19 Logo

RB Leipzig U19

0 - 1
FT
Mainz U19 Logo

Mainz U19

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Debrah J.
52' Event
Pressler M.
64'
Kaltefleiter B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Mainz U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
RB Leipzig U19
20%
Draws
35%
Mainz U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RB Leipzig U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RB Leipzig U19 come out ahead of Mainz U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives RB Leipzig U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • RB Leipzig U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mainz U19, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RB Leipzig U19 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
RB Leipzig U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Mainz U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB Leipzig U19 Mainz U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 3.07 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 DFB Youth League
RB Leipzig U19 vs Mainz U19
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 DFB Youth League
Mainz U19 vs RB Leipzig U19
2:5
Mar 1, 2025 DFB Youth League
RB Leipzig U19 vs Mainz U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RB Leipzig U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Mainz U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pressler M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB Leipzig U19 40 / 100
Mainz U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB Leipzig U19 Mainz U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB Leipzig U19 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: RB Leipzig U19 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Mainz U19 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

RB Leipzig U19 VS Mainz U19
2.63 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RB Leipzig U19

(Home)
18 Sept
Dresden U19
1 : 3
RB Leipzig U19
13 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
1 : 2
RB Leipzig U19
10 Sept
Como U19
1 : 1
RB Leipzig U19
22 Aug
RB Leipzig U19
7 : 1
Aue U19
19 Aug
Furth U19
0 : 2
RB Leipzig U19
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Mainz U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Magdeburg U19
2 : 0
Mainz U19
13 Sept
Mainz U19
5 : 2
FSV Frankfurt U19
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln U19
1 : 1
Mainz U19
30 Aug
Babelsberg U19
0 : 8
Mainz U19
23 Aug
Mainz U19
5 : 1
Wehen U19
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hoffenheim U19 2
Schalke U19 1
Kaiserslautern U19 0
Cottbus U19 2
RB Leipzig U19 3
Hamburger U19 1
Mainz U19 3
Augsburg U19 0
Wolfsburg U19 1
Paderborn U19 5
Bochum U19 3
Hannover U19 2
Koln U19 4
Bayern U19 0
Heidenheim U19 3
Leverkusen U19 1
Quarter-finals
Hoffenheim U19 4
Cottbus U19 0
RB Leipzig U19 0
Mainz U19 1
Paderborn U19 2
Bochum U19 1
Koln U19 2
Heidenheim U19 0
Semi-finals
Hoffenheim U19 2
Mainz U19 1
Paderborn U19 2
Koln U19 3
Final
Hoffenheim U19 2
Koln U19 0