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RB Leipzig vs Augsburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RB Leipzig host Augsburg in the Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. RB Leipzig have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Augsburg's 2.39 scored and 1.82 conceded. Head-to-head, RB Leipzig have won 3 to Augsburg's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 2.00) point toward RB Leipzig. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
RB Leipzig
30%
Draws
28%
Augsburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RB Leipzig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • RB Leipzig carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
RB Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB Leipzig Augsburg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 12
Draws 0 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.13 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Augsburg
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs RB Leipzig
0:6
Feb 14, 2025 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs RB Leipzig
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Augsburg
4:0
Feb 10, 2024 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs RB Leipzig
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB Leipzig 29 / 100
Augsburg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB Leipzig Augsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB Leipzig's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Augsburg let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: RB Leipzig stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RB Leipzig VS Augsburg
2.38 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

RB Leipzig

(Home)
27 Oct
RW Essen
1 : 2
RB Leipzig
24 Oct
RB Leipzig
4 : 0
Elversberg
21 Oct
Real Madrid
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
17 Oct
Bayern Munich
6 : 1
RB Leipzig
13 Oct
RB Leipzig
1 : 0
PSV
Page 1 of 6

Augsburg

(Away)
27 Oct
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 : 4
Augsburg
24 Oct
Augsburg
1 : 1
Union Berlin
17 Oct
Elversberg
4 : 3
Augsburg
10 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayern Munich
02 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2
Hertha Berlin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 7 5 2 0 25:6 17
2 Dortmund 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
3 Freiburg 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 16:12 13
5 RB Leipzig 7 4 0 3 20:11 12
6 Werder Bremen 7 3 3 1 15:14 12
7 Mainz 7 3 1 3 16:13 10
8 Elversberg 7 3 1 3 12:15 10
9 Augsburg 7 2 3 2 17:13 9
10 Hoffenheim 7 3 0 4 14:14 9
11 Hamburger 7 3 0 4 6:16 9
12 1. FC Koln 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
13 Paderborn 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 7 2 2 3 10:17 8
15 VfB Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 10:13 6
16 Schalke 7 1 3 3 4:7 6
17 Union Berlin 7 1 3 3 6:18 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 7 1 0 6 11:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)