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RB Leipzig vs B. Monchengladbach Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Baku R.
Assist: Gomis T.
49' Event
Nusa A.
Assist: Gomis T.
64'
Sub
Mohya W. In: Herold D.
Out: Mohya W.

AI Match Summary

RB Leipzig in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RB Leipzig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
RB Leipzig
15%
Draws
34%
B. Monchengladbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB Leipzig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • RB Leipzig have won more games recently than B. Monchengladbach.
  • RB Leipzig are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
RB Leipzig Clean Sheet 68%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB Leipzig B. Monchengladbach
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.9 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs B. Monchengladbach
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs B. Monchengladbach
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs B. Monchengladbach
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RB Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Baku R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nusa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

B. Monchengladbach Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB Leipzig 77 / 100
B. Monchengladbach 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB Leipzig B. Monchengladbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB Leipzig found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

B. Monchengladbach let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: B. Monchengladbach has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

RB Leipzig VS B. Monchengladbach
2.63 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

RB Leipzig

(Home)
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0
Hamburger
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
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B. Monchengladbach

(Away)
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
24 Sept
Siegen
0 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9:5 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9:10 5
11 Schalke 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
16 Hamburger 4 1 0 3 2:13 3
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
18 B. Monchengladbach 4 0 0 4 6:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)