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RB Leipzig W vs Duisburg W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2023/2024 Stadion am Cottaweg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RB Leipzig W play Duisburg W in the Bundesliga Women 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, RB Leipzig W averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Duisburg W averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, RB Leipzig W won 2, Duisburg W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 24, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for RB Leipzig W and 1.44 for Duisburg W. This points to a RB Leipzig W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
RB Leipzig W
21%
Draws
24%
Duisburg W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: RB Leipzig W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • RB Leipzig W picked up more points recently compared to Duisburg W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
RB Leipzig W Clean Sheet 16%
Duisburg W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB Leipzig W Duisburg W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.78 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Duisburg W
3:0
Nov 3, 2023 Bundesliga Women
Duisburg W vs RB Leipzig W
1:1
Jun 5, 2022 2. Bundesliga Women
Duisburg W vs RB Leipzig W
6:1
Dec 19, 2021 2. Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Duisburg W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RB Leipzig W Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hipp J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Duisburg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB Leipzig W 53 / 100
Duisburg W 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB Leipzig W Duisburg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig W Win (1)
Secondary Pick RB Leipzig W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

RB Leipzig W attacking → ← attacking Duisburg W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB Leipzig W scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Duisburg W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

RB Leipzig W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Duisburg W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 19
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bayern Munich W22193060:860
2Wolfsburg W22172367:1953
3Eintracht Frankfurt W22142642:2544
4SGS Essen W22105733:2635
5Hoffenheim W22104843:3534
6Bayer Leverkusen W2287734:2531
7Werder Bremen W22841034:3128
8RB Leipzig W22751026:4126
9Freiburg W22661026:4424
10Koln W22531425:4318
111.FC Nurnberg W22431516:6115
12Duisburg W22041816:644