Sport Picks
RB Leipzig W vs Union Berlin W Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig 
Match Events
2'
2'
Weidauer S.
18'
18'
Baum L.
Assist: Starke S.
44'
44'
Schimmer M.
Assist: Landenberger J.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between RB Leipzig W and Union Berlin W finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB Leipzig W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- RB Leipzig W's 2.14 goals per match outpaces what Union Berlin W have produced (1.93).
- Model gives RB Leipzig W a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Union Berlin W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
RB Leipzig W Clean Sheet 17%
Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RB Leipzig W | Union Berlin W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Union Berlin W
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W
5:0
Sep 8, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RB Leipzig W Compare
Top Goalscorer Baum L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Schimmer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Union Berlin W Compare
Top Goalscorer Weidauer S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Steuerwald S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RB Leipzig W 36 / 100
Union Berlin W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RB Leipzig W Union Berlin W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RB Leipzig W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Union Berlin W conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: RB Leipzig W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
RB Leipzig W VS Union Berlin W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
RB Leipzig W
(Home) 27 Sept
Blau-Gelb Marburg W
0 : 2 RB Leipzig W
20 Sept
Union Berlin W
3 : 2 RB Leipzig W
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1 1.FC Nurnberg W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1 RB Leipzig W
30 Aug
Werder Bremen W
2 : 0 RB Leipzig W
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1 1.FC Nurnberg W
23 Aug
RB Leipzig W
0 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen W
15 Aug
RB Leipzig W
10 : 1 Carl Zeiss Jena W
12 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 2 Paris FC W
09 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 1 PEC Zwolle W
Page 1 of 4
Union Berlin W
(Away) 27 Sept
Magdeburg W
0 : 5 Union Berlin W
20 Sept
Union Berlin W
3 : 2 RB Leipzig W
12 Sept
Koln W
3 : 0 Union Berlin W
07 Sept
Union Berlin W
0 : 1 Eintracht Frankfurt W
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0 Union Berlin W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Magdeburg W
0 : 5 Union Berlin W
12 Sept
Koln W
3 : 0 Union Berlin W
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0 Union Berlin W
15 Aug
PSG W
1 : 3 Union Berlin W
11 Jul
Potsdam W
2 : 6 Union Berlin W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 26 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 90:9 | 74 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 72:38 | 58 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 65:43 | 51 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 48:30 | 46 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 46:36 | 46 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Koln W | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 36:37 | 37 |
| 8 | Freiburg W | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 44:46 | 34 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:48 | 28 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 33:61 | 22 |
| 12 | Hamburger W | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26:57 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22:63 | 16 |
| 14 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 22:72 | 11 |
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)
