Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RB Leipzig W vs Werder Bremen W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Boboy D.
41'
Sub
Schimmer M. In: Krug V.
Out: Schimmer M.
45'
Wirtz J.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between RB Leipzig W and Werder Bremen W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
RB Leipzig W
15%
Draws
54%
Werder Bremen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Werder Bremen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Werder Bremen W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • RB Leipzig W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
RB Leipzig W Clean Sheet 10%
Werder Bremen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB Leipzig W Werder Bremen W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs RB Leipzig W
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Werder Bremen W
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
RB Leipzig W vs Werder Bremen W
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs RB Leipzig W
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs RB Leipzig W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RB Leipzig W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boboy D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Werder Bremen W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB Leipzig W 47 / 100
Werder Bremen W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB Leipzig W Werder Bremen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB Leipzig W scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Werder Bremen W let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

RB Leipzig W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RB Leipzig W VS Werder Bremen W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RB Leipzig W

(Home)
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1
RB Leipzig W
30 Aug
Werder Bremen W
2 : 0
RB Leipzig W
23 Aug
RB Leipzig W
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
15 Aug
RB Leipzig W
10 : 1
Carl Zeiss Jena W
Page 1 of 6

Werder Bremen W

(Away)
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
06 Sept
Wolfsburg W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
30 Aug
Werder Bremen W
2 : 0
RB Leipzig W
24 Aug
Mainz W
1 : 2
Werder Bremen W
16 Aug
Werder Bremen W
5 : 1
Hamburger W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)