Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RC Lorrain vs Morne des Esses Prediction & H2H Stats

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morne des Esses in this Trophee Gerard Janvion matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morne des Esses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
RC Lorrain
15%
Draws
57%
Morne des Esses
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morne des Esses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Morne des Esses have won more games recently than RC Lorrain.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
RC Lorrain Clean Sheet 10%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RC Lorrain Morne des Esses
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Lorrain vs Morne des Esses
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RC Lorrain 34 / 100
Morne des Esses 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RC Lorrain Morne des Esses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morne des Esses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: RC Lorrain scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Morne des Esses conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Morne des Esses registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RC Lorrain VS Morne des Esses
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RC Lorrain

(Home)
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3
Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Franciscain
4 : 1
RC Lorrain
21 May
RC Lorrain
3 : 0
Eclair de Riviere-Salee
14 May
Trenelle
2 : 1
RC Lorrain
07 May
RC Lorrain
0 : 1
Robert
Page 1 of 6

Morne des Esses

(Away)
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3
Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 2 2 0 0 9:1 8
2 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 9:2 8
3 Inter de Sainte-Anne 2 2 0 0 3:0 8
4 Assaut 2 1 1 0 6:1 6
5 Golden Lion 2 1 1 0 3:2 6
6 Morne des Esses 2 1 0 1 4:5 5
7 Samaritaine 2 0 2 0 4:4 4
8 Golden Star 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
9 Trenelle 2 0 1 1 2:6 3
10 RC Riviere-Pilote 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
11 Club Colonial 2 0 1 1 2:4 3
12 RC Lorrain 2 0 0 2 3:7 2
13 Espoir 1 0 0 1 0:5 1
14 Club Peleen 1 0 0 1 0:6 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)