Sport Picks
RC Saint Joseph vs Morne des Esses
Martinique
Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RC Saint Joseph
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- RC Saint Joseph have won more games recently than Morne des Esses.
- Model gives RC Saint Joseph a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and RC Saint Joseph have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
RC Saint Joseph Clean Sheet 20%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RC Saint Joseph | Morne des Esses |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 25 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 0 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.58 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.42 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs RC Saint Joseph
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs RC Saint Joseph
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Morne des Esses
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RC Saint Joseph 85 / 100
Morne des Esses 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RC Saint Joseph Morne des Esses
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RC Saint Joseph Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RC Saint Joseph scored in 94% of their last 31 games.
Recent resilience: RC Saint Joseph stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Morne des Esses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
RC Saint Joseph VS Morne des Esses
2.63 Goals Scored 1
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
RC Saint Joseph
(Home) 12 Sept
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0 Club Peleen
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3 RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1 RC Saint Joseph
30 May
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0 Emulation
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2 RC Saint Joseph
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0 Club Peleen
30 May
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0 Emulation
09 May
RC Saint Joseph
1 : 0 Golden Star
18 Apr
RC Saint Joseph
4 : 0 Espoir
04 Apr
RC Saint Joseph
2 : 1 Inter de Sainte-Anne
Page 1 of 4
Morne des Esses
(Away) 12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3 Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3 RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1 Morne des Esses
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1 Golden Star
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1 Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3 Morne des Esses
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1 Morne des Esses
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1 Morne des Esses
09 May
Espoir
2 : 0 Morne des Esses
18 Apr
Club Peleen
3 : 0 Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Saint Joseph | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 64:10 | 94 |
| 2 | Franciscain | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 54:16 | 89 |
| 3 | Golden Lion | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51:27 | 75 |
| 4 | Club Colonial | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 44:30 | 73 |
| 5 | Samaritaine | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 49:27 | 66 |
| 6 | Club Peleen | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:43 | 63 |
| 7 | Inter de Sainte-Anne | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:31 | 60 |
| 8 | Trenelle | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 37:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Golden Star | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 32:44 | 57 |
| 10 | Morne des Esses | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28:40 | 56 |
| 11 | Espoir | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30:49 | 54 |
| 12 | Aiglon Lamentin | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 33:74 | 47 |
| 13 | Robert | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Emulation | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 18:56 | 38 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)
