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RCP Valverdeno vs CD Azuaga Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Opara L.
89' Event
Lopez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 game between RCP Valverdeno and CD Azuaga finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
RCP Valverdeno
15%
Draws
58%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Azuaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Azuaga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 17%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RCP Valverdeno CD Azuaga
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 7 29
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Azuaga
0:2
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs RCP Valverdeno
2:0
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs RCP Valverdeno
0:0
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Azuaga
1:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs RCP Valverdeno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RCP Valverdeno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Opara L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RCP Valverdeno 10 / 100
CD Azuaga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RCP Valverdeno CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RCP Valverdeno scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: CD Azuaga conceded in 53% of 45 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

RCP Valverdeno has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Azuaga
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RCP Valverdeno

(Home)
21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2
CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2
Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
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CD Azuaga

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)