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Reading U18 vs Crewe U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2013/2014
Wed, Jan 15, 2014
4 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-3, with Reading U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Reading U18
15%
Draws
64%
Crewe U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crewe U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Reading U18 haven't matched Crewe U18's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Crewe U18's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Crewe U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Reading U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Reading U18 Clean Sheet 13%
Crewe U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reading U18 Crewe U18
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.53 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2014 FA Youth Cup
Reading U18 vs Crewe U18
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reading U18 19 / 100
Crewe U18 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reading U18 Crewe U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reading U18 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Crewe U18 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Crewe U18 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Reading U18 VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Reading U18

(Home)
12 Sept
Reading U18
1 : 2
Birmingham U18
05 Sept
Reading U18
1 : 1
Brighton U18
29 Aug
Chelsea U18
6 : 1
Reading U18
22 Aug
Reading U18
2 : 5
West Ham U18
15 Aug
Tottenham U18
6 : 1
Reading U18
Page 1 of 6

Crewe U18

(Away)
16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1
Crewe U18
14 Jan
Leicester U18
1 : 0
Crewe U18
15 Jan
Leicester U18
4 : 0
Crewe U18
02 Mar
Manchester City U18
6 : 1
Crewe U18
27 Jan
Arsenal U18
2 : 3
Crewe U18
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Reading U18 4
Crewe U18 3
Accrington U18 4
Bristol City U18 1
Watford U18 3
Norwich U18 1
Liverpool U18 3
Aston Villa U18 1
Manchester City U18 3
Hereford U18 1
Tottenham U18 2
Fulham U18 3
West Brom U18 2
Huddersfield U18 4
Leicester U18 0
Manchester United U18 1
Derby U18 3
Stoke City U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 4
Sunderland U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 2
Cardiff U18 3
Chelsea U18 4
Sheffield Wed U18 1
Southampton U18 1
Charlton U18 3
Peterborough U18 1
Arsenal U18 6
Millwall U18 2
Sheffield Utd U18 3
Everton U18 4
Birmingham U18 3
1/8-finals
Reading U18 3
Accrington U18 0
Watford U18 0
Liverpool U18 2
Manchester City U18 1
Fulham U18 3
Huddersfield U18 2
Manchester United U18 1
Derby U18 0
Newcastle Utd U18 1
Cardiff U18 0
Chelsea U18 2
Charlton U18 0
Arsenal U18 2
Sheffield Utd U18 0
Everton U18 2
Quarter-finals
Reading U18 5
Liverpool U18 4
Fulham U18 2
Huddersfield U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 2
Chelsea U18 3
Arsenal U18 3
Everton U18 1
Semi-finals
Reading U18 4
Fulham U18 5
Chelsea U18 3
Arsenal U18 1
Final
Fulham U18 6
Chelsea U18 7