Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022

Reading U23

1 - 3

Derby U23

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Clarke J.

(Penalty)

21'

Cashin E.

57'

Wilson T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Derby U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Reading U23

Draws

Derby U23

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Reading U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Derby U23 lately — more wins on the board than Reading U23.
Reading U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Derby U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Derby U23, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Derby U23 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%

Reading U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Reading U23	Derby U23
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	5	11
Draws	7	4
Losses	18	19
Goals Scored	1.38	1.75
Goals Conceded	2.38	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2022 Premier League Cup

Reading U23 vs Derby U23

1:3

Nov 15, 2021 Premier League Cup

Derby U23 vs Reading U23

2:1

Jan 30, 2017 Premier League 2

Reading U23 vs Derby U23

3:3

Sep 26, 2016 Premier League 2

Derby U23 vs Reading U23

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reading U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Derby U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cashin E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Wilson T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reading U23 83 / 100

Derby U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Reading U23 Derby U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby U23 let in goals in 94% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Derby U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Reading U23 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Reading U23 VS Derby U23

1.38 Goals Scored 1.75

2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Reading U23

(Home)

01 May

Middlesbrough U23

2 : 1

Reading U23

25 Apr

Reading U23

3 : 1

Fulham U23

01 Apr

Reading U23

1 : 1

West Brom U23

20 Mar

Southampton U23

2 : 1

Reading U23

14 Mar

Reading U23

2 : 1

Burnley U23

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Derby U23

(Away)

09 May

Crystal Palace U23

3 : 1

Derby U23

02 May

West Ham U23

5 : 0

Derby U23

25 Apr

Derby U23

0 : 1

Tottenham U23

15 Apr

Leicester U23

2 : 1

Derby U23

10 Apr

Derby U23

3 : 4

West Brom U23

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