Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Wilson C.
Assist: Ouattara Da.
45'
45'
Carvalho F.
Assist: Ouattara Da.
46'
46'
Sub
Sangare M. In: Yarmolyuk Y.
Out: Sangare M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Reading
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Brentford haven't matched Reading's recent run of results.
- Reading are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Reading have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Brentford, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Brentford here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Reading Clean Sheet 19%
Brentford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Reading | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 EFL Cup
Reading vs Brentford
1:2
Feb 10, 2021 Championship
Reading vs Brentford
1:3
Dec 19, 2020 Championship
Brentford vs Reading
3:1
Jun 30, 2020 Championship
Reading vs Brentford
0:3
Nov 23, 2019 Championship
Brentford vs Reading
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Reading Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Connor P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Brentford Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carvalho F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Reading 36 / 100
Brentford 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Reading Brentford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Reading's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Brentford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Reading went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Reading VS Brentford
1.63 Goals Scored 1.57
1 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Reading
(Home) 04 Nov
Oxford Utd
2 : 0 Reading
31 Oct
Plymouth
0 : 0 Reading
24 Oct
Reading
2 : 1 Barnsley
21 Oct
Reading
1 : 0 Leyton Orient
17 Oct
Wigan
1 : 0 Reading
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Reading
2 : 1 Barnsley
21 Oct
Reading
1 : 0 Leyton Orient
13 Oct
Reading
0 : 2 Chelsea U21
03 Oct
Reading
1 : 1 Bradford City
19 Sept
Reading
2 : 0 Notts County
Page 1 of 3
Brentford
(Away) 31 Oct
Brentford
2 : 0 Nottingham
28 Oct
Sunderland
3 : 2 Brentford
25 Oct
Hull City
1 : 1 Brentford
17 Oct
Brentford
1 : 2 Liverpool
10 Oct
Aston Villa
2 : 2 Brentford
Page 1 of 6
28 Oct
Sunderland
3 : 2 Brentford
25 Oct
Hull City
1 : 1 Brentford
10 Oct
Aston Villa
2 : 2 Brentford
15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2 Brentford
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town 2
Arsenal 1
Everton 3
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Brighton 2
Bradford City 2
Peterborough 0
Fulham 0
Crystal Palace 1
Sunderland 3
Brentford 2
Liverpool 2
Chelsea 1
Bournemouth 3
Aston Villa 0
Quarter-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Everton -
Manchester City -
Bradford City -
Crystal Palace -
Sunderland -
Liverpool -
Bournemouth -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
