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Real Ancash W vs Sporting Cristal W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Ancash W play Sporting Cristal W in the Liga Women 2025. Sporting Cristal W are favorites here. Recently, Real Ancash W averaged 1.36 goals scored and 3.55 conceded. Sporting Cristal W averaged 2.86 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Real Ancash W won 0, Sporting Cristal W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 17, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.19 for Real Ancash W and 1.86 for Sporting Cristal W. This points to a Sporting Cristal W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Real Ancash W
15%
Draws
67%
Sporting Cristal W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Ancash W picked up more points recently compared to Sporting Cristal W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.19 vs 1.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Real Ancash W Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Cristal W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Ancash W Sporting Cristal W
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 5 18
Draws 0 4
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.36 2.86
Goals Conceded 3.55 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 5.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Liga Women
Real Ancash W vs Sporting Cristal W
1:3
May 16, 2025 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs Real Ancash W
8:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Ancash W 18 / 100
Sporting Cristal W 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Ancash W Sporting Cristal W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sporting Cristal W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Ancash W attacking → ← attacking Sporting Cristal W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Ancash W scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Sporting Cristal W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Real Ancash W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Cristal W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 58
5.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima W11100136:630
2Universitario de Deportes W1190243:627
3Sporting Cristal W1172228:923
4Carlos Mannucci W1172228:1323
5UNSAAC W1161422:1319
6FBC Melgar W1153314:1618
7Flamengo FBC W1143414:1615
8Biavo W1131710:3210
9Cesar Vallejo W1122711:258
10Killas W111379:296
11Real Ancash W1120915:406
12Defensores W1111911:364