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Real Aranjuez vs Canillas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
Real Aranjuez Logo

Real Aranjuez

0 - 1
FT
Canillas Logo

Canillas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Canillas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Real Aranjuez
15%
Draws
85%
Canillas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canillas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Canillas have won more games recently than Real Aranjuez.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%
Canillas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aranjuez Canillas
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 0.72 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Canillas
0:1
Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Real Aranjuez
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aranjuez 34 / 100
Canillas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aranjuez Canillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canillas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canillas let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: Canillas registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Real Aranjuez scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Real Aranjuez VS Canillas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aranjuez

(Home)
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Real Aranjuez
0 : 3
RSC Internacional
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Canillas

(Away)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)