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Real Aranjuez vs CD Mostoles Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

Real Aranjuez in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Aranjuez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Real Aranjuez
20%
Draws
74%
CD Mostoles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • CD Mostoles have won more games recently than Real Aranjuez.
  • Model gives CD Mostoles a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 13%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aranjuez CD Mostoles
Matches Played 28 39
Wins 2 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.64 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs CD Mostoles
2:0
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Real Aranjuez
2:1
Feb 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs CD Mostoles
0:1
Oct 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Real Aranjuez
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
CD Mostoles 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aranjuez CD Mostoles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles let in goals in 82% of their last 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Real Aranjuez scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Real Aranjuez remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Aranjuez VS CD Mostoles
0.71 Goals Scored 1
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aranjuez

(Home)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
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CD Mostoles

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)