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Stadium Background

Real Aranjuez vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gomez de Figueroa A.
23' Event
de la Fuente S.
37' Event
Menendez G.

AI Match Summary

Galapagar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Real Aranjuez
30%
Draws
64%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Galapagar lately — more wins on the board than Real Aranjuez.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Galapagar taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Galapagar have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aranjuez Galapagar
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 4 11
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.72 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Galapagar
2:5
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Galapagar
0:2
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Aranjuez Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Fuente S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuesta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreres F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez de Figueroa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
Galapagar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aranjuez Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Galapagar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Real Aranjuez scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Real Aranjuez has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Aranjuez VS Galapagar
0.8 Goals Scored 1.13
2.8 Goals Conceded 1.25
80% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aranjuez

(Home)
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
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Galapagar

(Away)
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 CD Las Rozas 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 CD Mostoles 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Leganes B 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
5 Galapagar 3 1 2 0 7:4 5
6 RC Alcobendas 3 1 2 0 7:4 5
7 Union Adarve 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
8 Trival Valderas 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
9 CP Parla Escuela 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 CF Fuenlabrada 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
12 Cala Pozuelo 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
13 AD Torrejon 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 San Sebastian Reyes B 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
15 Mexico 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Rayo Vallecano B 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
17 Real Aranjuez 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
18 Siello 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)