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Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 game between Real Aranjuez and Trival Valderas finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Real Aranjuez
30%
Draws
62%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trival Valderas come out ahead of Real Aranjuez on wins alone.
  • Trival Valderas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Trival Valderas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aranjuez Trival Valderas
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 2 20
Draws 4 12
Losses 23 4
Goals Scored 0.66 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.45 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas
1:2
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas
1:5
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez
0:0
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Real Aranjuez
2:1
Feb 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
Trival Valderas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aranjuez Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trival Valderas has conceded goals in 64% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Real Aranjuez scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Real Aranjuez remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Aranjuez VS Trival Valderas
0.83 Goals Scored 1.75
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aranjuez

(Home)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
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Trival Valderas

(Away)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)