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Real Ariquemes vs Anapolis Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Alison Mira
12' Event
Alison Mira
22' Event
Taison

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2023 game between Real Ariquemes and Anapolis finished 0-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anapolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Real Ariquemes
20%
Draws
73%
Anapolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Anapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Real Ariquemes haven't matched Anapolis's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 20%
Anapolis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Ariquemes Anapolis
Matches Played 18 32
Wins 2 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.44 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2023 Serie D
Real Ariquemes vs Anapolis
0:8
May 6, 2023 Serie D
Anapolis vs Real Ariquemes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Ariquemes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Alison Mira
2 Goals
Assists Leader Taison
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Ariquemes 36 / 100
Anapolis 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Ariquemes Anapolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anapolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Anapolis conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Real Ariquemes scored in 28% of their last 18 outings.

Recent resilience: Real Ariquemes stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Anapolis
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Ariquemes

(Home)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
Page 1 of 4

Anapolis

(Away)
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 14 9 3 2 22:7 30
2 Tuna Luso 14 8 4 2 21:10 28
3 Aguia De Maraba 14 6 6 2 18:8 24
4 Princesa do Solimoes 14 4 7 3 21:13 19
5 Sao Raimundo RR 14 5 3 6 24:24 18
6 SC Humaita 14 5 3 6 16:21 18
7 Sao Francisco FC (AC) 14 3 0 11 5:33 9
8 Trem 14 2 2 10 8:19 8
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviario 14 11 3 0 30:6 36
2 Atletico Cearense 14 6 5 3 22:15 23
3 Maranhao 14 5 6 3 18:11 21
4 Parnahyba 14 4 5 5 14:23 17
5 Caucaia 14 3 7 4 20:20 16
6 Tocantinopolis 14 3 6 5 14:15 15
7 Cordino EC 14 2 5 7 13:26 11
8 Fluminense-PI 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 14 8 2 4 24:15 26
2 Nacional PB 14 7 3 4 17:11 24
3 Potiguar de Mossoró 14 6 5 3 16:11 23
4 Pacajus 14 6 4 4 21:16 22
5 Campinense 14 6 3 5 18:14 21
6 Santa Cruz 14 5 5 4 15:12 20
7 Iguatu 14 5 1 8 16:19 16
8 Globo FC 14 1 1 12 5:34 4
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Retro 14 7 5 2 19:13 26
2 Bahia de Feira 14 5 6 3 15:9 21
3 ASA 14 6 1 7 14:16 19
4 Falcon 14 5 4 5 16:15 19
5 Sergipe 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
6 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 14 5 3 6 13:22 18
7 Alagoinhas 14 4 3 7 15:18 15
8 Jacuipense 14 3 6 5 20:19 15
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 14 7 7 0 28:5 28
2 Anapolis 14 6 7 1 26:6 25
3 Operario VG 14 7 3 4 29:16 24
4 Brasiliense 14 6 6 2 31:11 24
5 Uniao Rondonopolis 14 7 2 5 17:9 23
6 Ipora 14 4 4 6 20:20 16
7 Interporto 14 1 3 10 3:47 6
8 Real Ariquemes 14 1 2 11 4:44 5
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletic Club 14 9 2 3 19:9 29
2 Portuguesa RJ 14 8 5 1 25:12 29
3 Democrata GV 14 7 4 3 18:15 25
4 Vitoria ES 14 6 2 6 23:20 20
5 Santo Andre 14 5 4 5 15:16 19
6 Resende 14 3 5 6 12:18 14
7 Nova Iguacu 14 2 4 8 15:23 10
8 Real Noroeste 14 1 4 9 9:23 7
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 14 6 6 2 16:8 24
2 Maringa FC 14 6 6 2 13:8 24
3 Internacional de Limeira 14 6 4 4 15:15 22
4 Ferroviaria 14 5 5 4 16:11 20
5 CRAC 14 5 3 6 16:14 18
6 Piracicaba 14 4 4 6 20:21 16
7 FC Cascavel 14 3 7 4 12:17 16
8 Operario MS 14 1 5 8 5:19 8
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
2 SER Caxias do Sul 14 7 2 5 19:16 23
3 Camboriu 14 6 4 4 19:14 22
4 Brasil de Pelotas 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
5 Sao Joseense 14 5 5 4 15:15 20
6 Concordia 14 5 4 5 15:13 19
7 Aimore 14 1 7 6 8:21 10
8 Novo Hamburgo 14 1 4 9 13:23 7
Promotion - Serie D 2023 (Play Offs)