Sport Picks

Brazil

Rondoniense 2024

Barcelona RO

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Ariquemes play Barcelona RO in the Rondoniense 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Real Ariquemes averaged 0.44 goals scored and 2.61 conceded. Barcelona RO averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Real Ariquemes won 2, Barcelona RO won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Real Ariquemes and 0.93 for Barcelona RO. This points to a Barcelona RO double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Real Ariquemes

28%

Draws

45%

Barcelona RO

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Barcelona RO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Real Ariquemes picked up more points recently compared to Barcelona RO.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 24%

Barcelona RO Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Real Ariquemes	Barcelona RO
Matches Played	18	30
Wins	2	9
Draws	4	4
Losses	12	17
Goals Scored	0.44	1
Goals Conceded	2.61	1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Rondoniense

Real Ariquemes vs Barcelona RO

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Mar 10, 2024 Rondoniense

Barcelona RO vs Real Ariquemes

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Jun 9, 2018 Rondoniense

Real Ariquemes vs Barcelona RO

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

May 24, 2018 Rondoniense

Barcelona RO vs Real Ariquemes

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

May 3, 2018 Rondoniense

Real Ariquemes vs Barcelona RO

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Ariquemes 29 / 100

Barcelona RO 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Real Ariquemes Barcelona RO

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Barcelona RO or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Real Ariquemes attacking → ← attacking Barcelona RO

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Ariquemes scored in 28% of their last 18 games.

Barcelona RO let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Real Ariquemes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Barcelona RO lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 31

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Porto Velho	10	7	1	2	20:9	22
2	Barcelona RO	10	4	4	2	14:9	16
3	Uniao Cacoalense	10	3	4	3	7:6	13
4	Vilhena	10	3	4	3	12:14	13
5	Ji-Parana	10	3	2	5	6:12	11
6	Genus	10	1	3	6	9:18	6
7	Real Ariquemes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0