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Real Ariquemes vs Ji-Parana

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Real Ariquemes
35%
Draws
56%
Ji-Parana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ji-Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Ji-Parana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ji-Parana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ji-Parana arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Ariquemes, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 23%
Ji-Parana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Ariquemes Ji-Parana
Matches Played 18 32
Wins 2 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.44 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.61 0.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Real Ariquemes
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Ji-Parana
0:0
May 10, 2023 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Ji-Parana
2:2
Apr 30, 2023 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Real Ariquemes
1:0
Apr 8, 2023 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Ji-Parana
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Ariquemes 10 / 100
Ji-Parana 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Ariquemes Ji-Parana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ji-Parana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ji-Parana has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Attacking prowess: Real Ariquemes scored in 28% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Real Ariquemes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ji-Parana
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Ariquemes

(Home)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
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Ji-Parana

(Away)
18 Mar
Ji-Parana
0 : 1
CA Rondoniense
15 Mar
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
12 Mar
Ji-Parana
3 : 0
Genus
09 Mar
Guapore
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
05 Mar
Porto Velho
0 : 0
Ji-Parana
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Porto Velho 2
Ji-Parana 3
Uniao Cacoalense 0
Real Ariquemes 2
Final
Ji-Parana 3
Real Ariquemes 2