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Real Avila vs Burgos CF B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Carrion A.
52' Event
Nsukula G.
(Penalty)
88'
Monedero M.

AI Match Summary

Real Avila host Burgos CF B in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Real Avila have averaged 1.75 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Burgos CF B's 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Real Avila have won 3 to Burgos CF B's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.00) back Real Avila to edge this. Real Avila in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Real Avila
44%
Draws
20%
Burgos CF B
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Avila has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Burgos CF B.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 23%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Avila Burgos CF B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Burgos CF B vs Real Avila
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Burgos CF B
2:1
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Real Avila
1:2
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Avila vs Burgos CF B
1:1
Jan 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs Real Avila
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Avila Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrion A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Terrazas V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Burgos CF B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Avila 37 / 100
Burgos CF B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Avila Burgos CF B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Avila scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Burgos CF B let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Real Avila went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Burgos CF B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Avila VS Burgos CF B
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Fabril34209559:2269
2Real Oviedo B341610850:3558
3Numancia341511846:3156
4UD Ourense341510940:3455
5Coruxo FC341571246:3752
6Gimnastica Segoviana341491137:3651
7Real Avila341481248:5250
8Salamanca CF UDS341481243:3650
9Rayo Cantabria341115863:5048
10Bergantinos341391244:3748
11Atletico Astorga341291341:4345
12Marino De Luanco3411121131:2645
13Valladolid Promesas341291359:5845
14Langreo3411101335:4143
15Sarriana341171642:4240
16Burgos CF B348121438:5536
17Lealtad34772031:5428
18UD Samano34362523:8715