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Real Avila vs Deportivo Fabril

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Rodrigues D.
68' Event
Urzain F.
71' Event
Najera M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Real Avila and Deportivo Fabril finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Fabril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Real Avila
6%
Draws
90%
Deportivo Fabril
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Fabril carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Deportivo Fabril are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 14%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Avila Deportivo Fabril
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Deportivo Fabril
0:4
Dec 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Real Avila
2:1
Jan 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Deportivo Fabril
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs Real Avila
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Avila Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Deportivo Fabril Compare

Top Goalscorer Najera M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Avila 10 / 100
Deportivo Fabril 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Avila Deportivo Fabril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Avila found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Fabril conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Real Avila has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Avila VS Deportivo Fabril
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Avila

(Home)
03 May
Real Avila
0 : 4
Deportivo Fabril
26 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
4 : 1
Real Avila
19 Apr
Real Avila
2 : 1
Gimnastica Segoviana
12 Apr
Numancia
2 : 1
Real Avila
05 Apr
Real Avila
1 : 2
Langreo
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Deportivo Fabril

(Away)
03 May
Real Avila
0 : 4
Deportivo Fabril
26 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
0 : 1
Valladolid Promesas
19 Apr
Salamanca CF UDS
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
12 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
3 : 0
UD Ourense
05 Apr
Burgos CF B
1 : 4
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Fabril34209559:2269
2Real Oviedo B341610850:3558
3Numancia341511846:3156
4UD Ourense341510940:3455
5Coruxo FC341571246:3752
6Gimnastica Segoviana341491137:3651
7Real Avila341481248:5250
8Salamanca CF UDS341481243:3650
9Rayo Cantabria341115863:5048
10Bergantinos341391244:3748
11Atletico Astorga341291341:4345
12Marino De Luanco3411121131:2645
13Valladolid Promesas341291359:5845
14Langreo3411101335:4143
15Sarriana341171642:4240
16Burgos CF B348121438:5536
17Lealtad34772031:5428
18UD Samano34362523:8715
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)