Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Aviles vs Pontevedra

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta, Avilés
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Doncel P.
35'
Mayo S.
43'
Sillero J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Real Aviles and Pontevedra finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontevedra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Real Aviles
15%
Draws
48%
Pontevedra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontevedra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pontevedra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Real Aviles are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 12%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aviles Pontevedra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 12 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.33 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Pontevedra
0:1
May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Real Aviles
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Pontevedra
0:3
Mar 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Pontevedra
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Real Aviles
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aviles 35 / 100
Pontevedra 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aviles Pontevedra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Aviles found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Real Aviles remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Pontevedra conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Aviles VS Pontevedra
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aviles

(Home)
28 Aug
Real Aviles
0 : 1
Pontevedra
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2
Real Aviles
13 Aug
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 1
Real Aviles
08 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6

Pontevedra

(Away)
28 Aug
Real Aviles
0 : 1
Pontevedra
19 Aug
Coruxo FC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1
Ourense CF
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5
Pontevedra
01 Aug
Arosa SC
3 : 1
Pontevedra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Lugo 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 UD Logrones 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Ponferradina 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 AD Merida 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Cacereno 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Racing Club Ferrol 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Ath Bilbao B 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Zamora 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Arenas Getxo 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Leonesa 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 CD Extremadura 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 Deportivo Fabril 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Real Aviles 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 UD Ourense 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
20 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)