Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Aviles vs Pontevedra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta, Avilés
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Doncel P.
35'
Mayo S.
43'
Sillero J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Real Aviles and Pontevedra finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontevedra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Real Aviles
15%
Draws
37%
Pontevedra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Aviles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontevedra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Real Aviles are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 68%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aviles Pontevedra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Pontevedra
0:1
May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Real Aviles
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Pontevedra
0:3
Mar 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Pontevedra
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Real Aviles
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aviles 86 / 100
Pontevedra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aviles Pontevedra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Aviles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Aviles found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Pontevedra has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Real Aviles remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Aviles VS Pontevedra
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aviles

(Home)
31 Oct
Real Union
0 : 3
Real Aviles
24 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 3
UD Logrones
18 Oct
Real Aviles
3 : 0
UD Ourense
11 Oct
Ponferradina
0 : 2
Real Aviles
02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2
Lugo
Page 1 of 6

Pontevedra

(Away)
01 Nov
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Pontevedra
27 Oct
Arosa SC
2 : 0
Pontevedra
24 Oct
Leonesa
1 : 2
Pontevedra
18 Oct
Pontevedra
1 : 0
Cacereno
11 Oct
Pontevedra
1 : 2
AD Merida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 11 9 1 1 19:9 28
2 UD Logrones 10 6 2 2 20:13 20
3 Real Aviles 11 5 2 4 23:15 17
4 Mirandes 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
5 Racing Club Ferrol 10 5 2 3 9:7 17
6 CD Extremadura 11 5 1 5 21:15 16
7 Ath Bilbao B 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
8 Pontevedra 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Cacereno 11 4 3 4 9:9 15
10 Ponferradina 10 3 5 2 6:6 14
11 Real Union 10 3 4 3 19:17 13
12 AD Merida 10 4 1 5 16:14 13
13 Leonesa 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
14 Zamora 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
15 Barakaldo 10 2 5 3 8:10 11
16 Deportivo Fabril 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
17 Unionistas de Salamanca 10 3 1 6 12:18 10
18 CD Coria 10 2 3 5 12:17 9
19 UD Ourense 10 2 2 6 4:15 8
20 Arenas Getxo 10 2 2 6 8:22 8
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)