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Real Aviles vs UD Logrones - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta, Avilés
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Aviles host UD Logrones in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Real Aviles have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against UD Logrones's 2.18 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor UD Logrones slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2017, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.38 - 2.19) back UD Logrones to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real Aviles
35%
Draws
32%
UD Logrones
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • UD Logrones carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Real Aviles a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 10%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aviles UD Logrones
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 21
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.45 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2017 Copa del Rey
UD Logrones vs Real Aviles
4:0
Mar 8, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs Real Aviles
1:0
Oct 19, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs UD Logrones
0:1
Mar 30, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Logrones vs Real Aviles
0:1
Nov 10, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs UD Logrones
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aviles 47 / 100
UD Logrones 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aviles UD Logrones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Aviles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Aviles found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Real Aviles stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

UD Logrones let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Real Aviles VS UD Logrones
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aviles

(Home)
18 Oct
Real Aviles
3 : 0
UD Ourense
11 Oct
Ponferradina
0 : 2
Real Aviles
02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2
Lugo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6

UD Logrones

(Away)
18 Oct
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Leonesa
12 Oct
Lugo
3 : 1
UD Logrones
04 Oct
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
27 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 5
UD Logrones
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 UD Logrones 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
3 Racing Club Ferrol 8 5 1 2 9:5 16
4 AD Merida 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
6 Zamora 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
7 Leonesa 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
8 Cacereno 8 3 3 2 7:5 12
9 Ponferradina 8 3 3 2 6:6 12
10 Real Aviles 8 3 2 3 14:10 11
11 Pontevedra 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
12 Mirandes 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
13 Real Union 8 2 4 2 15:13 10
14 CD Extremadura 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
15 Barakaldo 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
16 Deportivo Fabril 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
17 CD Coria 8 2 2 4 12:16 8
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
19 UD Ourense 8 1 2 5 3:13 5
20 Arenas Getxo 8 0 2 6 5:22 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)