Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Bamako vs Binga

Mali Mali

Premiere Division Stade Modibo Kéïta, Bamako
Real Bamako Logo

Real Bamako

0 - 1
FT
Binga Logo

Binga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Binga in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Real Bamako
30%
Draws
19%
Binga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Bamako have won more games recently than Binga.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Real Bamako taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
Binga Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bamako Binga
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.52 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premiere Division
Binga vs Real Bamako
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Binga
0:1
May 9, 2025 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Binga
1:2
Jan 15, 2025 Premiere Division
Binga vs Real Bamako
1:2
May 5, 2024 Premiere Division
Binga vs Real Bamako
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bamako 77 / 100
Binga 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bamako Binga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Real Bamako remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Real Bamako found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Binga registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Bamako VS Binga
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Bamako

(Home)
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
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Binga

(Away)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
02 Jun
Djoliba
2 : 1
Binga
24 May
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Binga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)