Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Bamako vs Diarra

Mali Mali

Premiere Division Stade Modibo Kéïta, Bamako
Real Bamako Logo

Real Bamako

2 - 1
FT
Diarra Logo

Diarra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Bamako in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Real Bamako
30%
Draws
27%
Diarra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Diarra haven't matched Real Bamako's recent run of results.
  • Real Bamako are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Real Bamako have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
Diarra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bamako Diarra
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.52 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Diarra
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Real Bamako
0:2
Apr 19, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Real Bamako
0:1
Dec 31, 2024 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Diarra
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bamako 50 / 100
Diarra 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bamako Diarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Bamako has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Bamako's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Diarra conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Bamako VS Diarra
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Bamako

(Home)
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
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Diarra

(Away)
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)